A Machine-Learning Model Based on US Radiomics to Classify Benign and Malignant Thyroid Nodules
Author Block: A. Guerrisi1, V. Dolcetti1, L. Miseo1, A. Valenti1, F. Elia1, G. Del Gaudio1, F. Raponi2, E. David2, V. Cantisani1; 1Rome/IT, 2Catania/IT
Purpose: The aim of this work was to develop a machine learning model based on thyroid ultrasound images in order to classify nodules into benign and malignant classes. Ultrasound and fine needle biopsy are the most reliable diagnostic methods to date, but they have some limitations. Radiomics and machine learning could be useful to improve diagnosis while reducing invasive procedures.
Methods or Background: Ultrasound images from 142 subjects were collected: 40 patients belonged to "malignant" and 102 to "benign" class, according to histological diagnosis (fine-needle aspiration). Those images were used to train, cross-validate and internal test three different machine learning models, using the “Trace for Research” software. A robust radiomic approach was applied, and the models (random forests, SVM and k-NN classifiers) were evaluated. Finally, the best model was externally tested on an additional cohort of 21 patients.
Results or Findings: The best model (ensemble of random forest) showed ROC-AUC (%) of 85 (majority vote), 83.7** (mean) [80.2-87.2], accuracy (%) of 83, 81.2** [77.1-85.2], sensitivity (%) of 70, 67.5** [64.3-70.7], specificity (%) of 88, 86.5** [82-91], PPV (%) of 70, 66.5** [57.9-75.1], and NPV (%) of 88, 87.1** [85.5-88.8] (*p<0.05, **p<0.005) in the internal test cohort. This model was then externally tested, achieving an Accuracy of 90.5%, a sensitivity of 100%, a specificity of 86.7%, a PPV of 75% and an NPV of 100%.
Conclusion: The best model could successfully identify all the malignant nodes and the consistent majority of benign in external testing cohort. Further investigations could be conducted by testing the model with images of nodules from different centers.
Limitations: Additional external tests should be performed, with images from different ultrasound machines and different healthcare centers to increase variability of target population.
Funding for this study: This research was supported by Italian Ministry of Health
Has your study been approved by an ethics committee? Yes
Ethics committee - additional information: This study was performed in line with the principles 417
of the Declaration of Helsinki. Approval was granted by the Ethics Committee of IRCCS 418
IFO-Fondazione GB Bietti (Date: 23/01/2023, N: 1820/23)