Prognostic value of semi-quantitative cCTA scores
Author Block: E. Bruno, A. Bettinelli, V. Morrone, A. Colombo, C. Gnasso, F. Pisu, D. Vignale, A. Palmisano, A. Esposito; Milan/IT
Purpose: Coronary artery disease (CAD) is a global leading cause of morbidity and mortality, with complex pathogenesis. Coronary computed tomography angiography (cCTA) is a powerful non-invasive tool for diagnosing obstructive CAD. However, most patients have non-obstructive CAD, and risk stratification data are limited. Many cCTA-based risk scores were developed, however with low predictive value and reproducibility.
This study aims to develop clinical-imaging models to predict major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) in patients undergoing cCTA for suspected CAD.
Methods or Background: Observational, single-center retrospective study including 4096 out of 10104 patients undergoing cCTA between 2016 and 2020. Patients with cardiovascular comorbidities or terminal cancer were excluded. Demographics, cardiovascular risk-factors, and medical history were collected via phone contact and medical records, to calculate known semiquantitative cCTA scores (CAD-RADS, Leiden risk score, Leaman risk score, SSS, SIS, Calcium score). Patients were compared after a minimum 4-year follow-up according to the occurrence of MACEs (cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, all-cause mortality, angina-related hospitalization, late coronary revascularization). Multivariable Cox regression models, adjusted for age and sex, were created using significant clinical variables and one cCTA score.
Results or Findings: Among 1933 patients enrolled (65% men, age:63.511.6 year-old), 353/1933(18%) had MACE. Patients with MACE had higher rates of hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes, and higher cCTA scores(all p<.001). All cCTA scores significantly predicted MACE occurrence in Kaplan-Meier survival analysis(p<.005). Six multivariable models including clinical features (diabetes, dyslipidemia, hypertension) and one cCTA score have been developed: in each model cCTA score was the strongest prognosticator of outcome, with CAD-RADS having the highest HR(2.996, 95%CI 2.374-3.781, p<.001), followed by CACS(2.103, 95%CI 1.646-2.687, p<.001).
Conclusion: CCTA scores area all predictors of outcome, in particular CAD-RADS, indicating the highest-grade coronary artery lesion, had the higher Hazard Ratio.
Limitations: No prospective data.
Funding for this study: None
Has your study been approved by an ethics committee? Yes
Ethics committee - additional information: Approved by San Raffaele hospital ethics committee (124/2023)