Could MRI-radiomics predict Liver Metastasis Recurrence and Overall Survival after surgery or ablation treatment?
Author Block: T. Russo, A. Belardo, A. Della Corte, D. Santangelo, F. Calabrese, M. M. Vincenzi, M. Mori, C. Fiorino, F. De Cobelli; Milan/IT
Purpose: To investigate the potentials of MRI radiomics to predict recurrence (R), hepatic recurrence (IR), and overall survival (OS) in a cohort of patients with colorectal liver metastases (CLM) who underwent microwave ablation (MWA) performed alone or in combination with surgical resection.
Methods or Background: 121 CLM patients with pre-operative Gadoxetic acid-MRI treated at our Institute between October 2015 and December 2022 were analyzed. One observer manually segmented the largest CLM on T2 scans. The abdominal aorta at the level of second lumbar vertebrae was used for the z-score normalization of the lesion. Cox multivariate analysis was run to establish a few-features radiomic model (RAD-T2), to predict recurrences and death. A bootstrap-based methodology for robust feature selection, including redundancy filtering, was optimized to select the best combination of two, three, four features. Correction of the models for optimism was then performed by internal bootstrap-based validation.
Results or Findings: For R, IR and OS the median follow-ups were respectively 12, 13 and 23 months; the number of events were 80, 68 and 34. After corrections for optimism, the resulting best RAD-T2 models were based on the combination of 2-3 features; they were able to predict R with C-index=0.65 (p=0.0002), IR (C-index=0.64, p=0.0029) and OS (C-index=0.71, p=0.0046). As an example, based on the best cut-off value of the RAD-T2 index, OS at 2 year was 58% and 88% when the cohort was stratified accordingly.
Conclusion: T2-MRI-based radiomic evaluation of CLMs is feasible and potentially useful for outcome prediction.
Limitations: The limited number of patients and the retrospective nature of the study.
Funding for this study: The limited number of patients and the retrospective nature of the study.
Has your study been approved by an ethics committee? Not applicable
Ethics committee - additional information: All procedures were carried out in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki (1964) and its later amendments.