CECT-Based Deep Learning for Pancreatic Lesion Diagnosis and Three-Tier Management: Multicenter Development, External Validation, and Reader Study
Author Block: C. Ma, Y. Zhang, L. Lin, K. Zhang, N. Zhang, K. Cao; Shanghai/CN
Purpose: To develop and validate a contrast-enhanced CT (CECT)–based deep learning model for accurate differential diagnosis and three-tier clinical management of pancreatic lesions.
Methods or Background: Retrospective cross-sectional study of 7,748 cases across 10 categories from a tertiary center (2015-2023). Ten categories included: pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors, solid pseudopapillary neoplasms, intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms(IPMN), mucinous cystic neoplasms(MCN), serous cystadenomas, periampullary carcinomas(PAC), chronic pancreatitis, acute pancreatitis, and normal pancreas (confirmed by two-year follow-up). Model training used 6343 cases, with 1405 internal and 2361 external tests. A hybrid CNN–Transformer addressed performed 10-class diagnosis, dysplasia grading in IPMN/MCN, and three-tier management (discharge/surveillance/intervention). Performance was evaluated using AUC, Top-1 accuracy, and balanced accuracy (BA). A 12-radiologist reader study assessed assistive value.
Results or Findings: Internal test set (ten-class model): sensitivity 97.5% (95% CI, 96.4–98.3), specificity 99.6% (95% CI, 98.5–100), AUC 99.8% (95% CI, 99.7–99.9), Top-1 accuracy 88.8% (95% CI, 87.0–90.3), and BA 83.0% (95% CI, 79.7–86.1). The model improved mean diagnostic accuracy versus original radiology reports by 7.42% (79.9% vs 72.4%; 95% CI, 1.5–13.7; p=0.004). Dysplasia grading: AUC 84.8% (95% CI, 78.5–90.4), BA 76.8% (95% CI, 70.6–83.1). Clinical management: BA 84.3% (95% CI, 77.2–88.6). External test set: BA 72.4% (95% CI, 69.5–75.2) for diagnosis, 66.6% (95% CI, 60.2–72.9) for dysplasia grading, and 80.0% (95% CI, 77.1–82.7) for clinical management. In the reader study, AI assistance increased specificity by 9.8% (94.4% vs 84.7%; p=0.0003), diagnostic BA by 10.8% (75.1% vs 64.4%; p<0.001), and clinical management BA by 6.9% (70.2% vs 63.2%; p<0.001).
Conclusion: A CECT-based deep learning model achieves high diagnostic performance and significantly enhances clinical management decisions for pancreatic lesions, including in multi-center evaluation and reader-assisted settings.
Limitations: No prospective validation, some benign lesions excluded, PAC not subtyped.
Funding for this study: 1.National Natural Science Foundation of China, No.82372045
2.Shanghai Natural Science Foundation, No.23ZR1478400
Has your study been approved by an ethics committee? Yes
Ethics committee - additional information: Shanghai Changhai Hospital: CHEC2022-069