Deep learning-based biological age estimation from MRI predicts cardiometabolic events in the general population
Author Block: M. Jung1, M. Reisert2, H. Rieder2, S. Rospleszcz2, M. T. Lu1, F. Bamberg2, V. Raghu1, J. Weiß2; 1Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston/US, 2Freiburg/DE
Purpose: Chronological age is one of the cornerstones of medical decision-making, but it's an imperfect measure of health. We propose a deep learning framework (MRI-Age) for estimating biological age from MRI and investigated its value in predicting cardiometabolic outcomes in the general population beyond chronological age.
Methods or Background: We used 30,389 individuals from the German National Cohort (NAKO) to develop MRI-Age, which takes MRI-derived volumetric body composition, including subcutaneous (SAT), visceral (VAT), intramuscular adipose tissue (IMAT), and skeletal muscle (SM) from the 1st to 5th lumbar vertebra as input and outputs an age estimate in years. For downstream analyses, we calculated MRI-Age acceleration, defined as an age-specific z-score of the age estimate. We then validated this framework in an external testing set of 36,317 individuals from the UK Biobank (UKBB). Incident outcomes were diabetes, MACE, and all-cause mortality. Multivariable Cox regression assessed the association between MRI-Age acceleration categories “negative” (MRI-Age acceleration <-1), “reference” (MRI-Age acceleration -1 to 1), and “positive” (MRI-Age acceleration >1) and outcomes adjusted for traditional cardiometabolic risk factors in the UKBB.
Results or Findings: In 36,317 UKBB participants (65.1±7.8 years, 51.7% female; median follow-up 4.8 years), we found a higher incidence of diabetes, MACE, and death in individuals with positive MRI-acceleration. In multivariable-adjusted Cox regression, we observed a significant positive association between positive MRI-Age acceleration and diabetes (aHR: 1.87, 95% CI [1.56-2.25], p<0.001), MACE (aHR: 1.26, 95% CI [1.01-1.57], p=0.038), and all-cause mortality (aHR: 1.37, 95% CI [1.09-1.72], p=0.007).
Conclusion: Deep learning-derived biological age from MRI predicts cardiometabolic outcomes in the general population beyond chronological age and cardiometabolic risk factors. Individuals at high MRI-Age could benefit from personalized prevention strategies, lifestyle interventions, and treatment planning.
Limitations: Limited age-range. Predominantly white population.
Funding for this study: This project was conducted with data from the German National Cohort (NAKO) (www.nako.de). The NAKO is funded by the Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) [project funding reference numbers: 01ER1301A/B/C, 01ER1511D, and 01ER1801A/B/C/D], federal states of Germany, and the Helmholtz Association, the participating universities and the institutes of the Leibniz Association. This research has been conducted using the UK Biobank Resource under Application Number 80337. We thank all participants who took part in the NAKO and UKBB study and the staff of these research initiatives. MJ was funded by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, German Research Foundation) - 518480401. VKR was funded by Norn Group Longevity Impetus Grant, NHLBI K01HL168231, and AHA Career Development Award 935176.
Has your study been approved by an ethics committee? Yes
Ethics committee - additional information: Informed consent was obtained from all participants in the UK Biobank and the German National Cohort study. In addition, we received local IRB approval (IRB of the University of Freiburg: 23-1316-S1-retro and 24-1099-S1-retro).