Overlooked and underpowered: a meta-research study addressing sample size in radiomics research
Author Block: J. Zhong1, J. Lu2, Y. Xing1, Y. Hu1, D. Ding1, X. Liu1, S. Dai1, H. Zhang1, W. Yao1; 1Shanghai/CN, 2Stanford, CA/US
Purpose: To investigate how studies determine the sample size when developing radiomics models, and whether it is sufficient.
Methods or Background: We identified radiomics studies published from January to December 2023 on seven leading peer-reviewed radiological journals owned by European Society of Radiology and Radiological Society of North America. We reviewed the sample size justification methods, and actual sample size used. We calculated the minimum sample size according to 3 criteria proposed by Riley et al, and compared the estimated and the actual sample size used. We investigated which characteristics factors were associated with the sufficient sample size.
Results or Findings: We included 116 studies. 11/116 studies justified the sample size, in which 6/11 performed a priori sample size calculation. The mean ± standard deviation (SD), median (first and third quartile, Q1, Q3) of total sample size of models are 451 ± 871, 223 (130, 463), and those of sample size for training are 292 ± 676, 150 (90, 288). The mean ± SD, median (Q1, Q3) of difference between the total sample size and minimum sample size according to Riley et al criterion 3 are 120 ± 888, -100 (-216, 183), and those of difference between the sample size for training and minimum sample size according to Riley et al all 3 criteria are -386 ± 1264, -268 (-427, -157). The model testing method and specialty of topic were associated with sufficient sample size.
Conclusion: Radiomics models are often designed without sample size justification, as a consequence many models are too small to avoid overfitting, noise, and outliers. It should be encouraged to justify, perform and report sample size calculations when developing radiomics models.
Limitations: The limitation of the study is limited number of leading peer-reviewed radiological journals.
Funding for this study: Funding was provided by National Natural Science Foundation of China (82302183, 82471935, 82271934), Yangfan Project of Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality (22YF1442400), Research Found of Health Commission of Changing District, Shanghai Municipality (2023QN01), Laboratory Open Fund of Key Technology and Materials in Minimally Invasive Spine Surgery (2024JZWC-ZDA03, 2024JZWC-YBA07), and Research Fund of Tongren Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine (TRKYRC-XX202204, TRYJ2021JC06, TRYXJH18, TRYXJH28).
Has your study been approved by an ethics committee? Not applicable
Ethics committee - additional information: The study is a meta-research study with a protocol available on OSF (https://osf.io/pbukc/), and no human participants or animals were included in the study.