Cancer Detection Rates in DWI-upgraded Transition Zone lesions align with risk assessment categories in PI-RADS v2.1: a Systematic Review and Meta-analysis
Author Block: G. Agrotis, E. H. P. Pooch, R. G. H. Beets-Tan, I. G. Schoots; Amsterdam/NL
Purpose: To assess and compare cancer detection rates (CDRs) of transition zone (TZ) lesions that were upgraded from PI-RADSv2.1 score 2 to 3("2+1") or from score 3 to 4("3+1") using diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) and evaluate their clinical impact.
Methods or Background: A systematic literature search was conducted in Embase, Medline and Web of Science for studies evaluating TZ lesions with the use of DWI, with histology proven Grade Group≥2 cancer (GG≥2) as primary outcome. Pooled estimates for sensitivity, specificity, CDRs, and Odds Ratio (OR) were derived from extracted data at lesion level and quantitatively pooled using a bivariate binomial and random effects model.
Results or Findings: A total of 7 studies included 1,437 TZ lesions. GG≥2 CDRs for PI-RADSv2.1 scores of 1, 2, 2+1, 3, 3+1, 4, and 5 were respectively 2%[95% CI:0%-12%], 7%[4%-11%], 12%[6%-24%], 21%[18%-25%], 37%[23%-53%], 53%[33%-72%], and 86%[40%-98%].
GG≥2 CDRs of TZ scores '2+1' and '2' were statistically different, with OR 3.13[1.31-7.48],p=0.01, while '2+1' and '3' scores were not, with an OR of 0.76[0.42-1.33],p=0.34. GG≥2 CDRs of TZ score '3+1' and '3' were statistically different, with an OR of 2.3[1.07-4.95],p=0.03, while scores '3+1' and '4' were not with an OR of 0.63[0.28-1.38],p=0.25. Still, false positive rates were substantial in both subcategories ('2+1': 76%[73.8%-78.2%] and '3+1': 45%[42.4%-47.6%]).
Conclusion: The risk of having significant prostate cancer in ‘2+1’ and ‘3+1’ Transition Zone lesions, with an upgrading based on DWI images, is appropriately categorized within the PI-RADS v2.1 scoring system, as shown by this meta-analysis. Especially TZ lesions with score ‘3+1’ may impact individualized biopsy-decisions, as 2-in-5 harbor significant disease, similar to score ‘4’ lesions. Still, the high false positive rate in this sub-category emphasizes the need for strategies to minimize overdiagnosis.
Limitations: Data availability and population differences
Funding for this study: None
Has your study been approved by an ethics committee? Not applicable
Ethics committee - additional information: Not applicable