Development and validation of comprehensive nomogram based on imaging features and MRI radiomics to predict microvascular invasion and overall survival in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma
Gengyun Miao, Shanghai / China
Author Block: G. Miao, X. Qian, Y. Zhang, C. Yang, M. Zeng; Shanghai/CNPurpose: Microvascular invasion (MVI) is a predictor of poor prognosis in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC). The aim of this study was to establish a comprehensive model based on MR radiomics for MVI status stratification and overall survival prediction in ICC patients preoperatively.Methods or Background: A total of 249 ICC patients were randomized into training and validation cohorts (174:75), and a time-independent test cohort with 47 ICC patients was enrolled. Independent clinical and imaging predictors were identified by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. The radiomic model was based on the robust radiomic features extracted by a logistic regression classifier and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator algorithm. The imaging-radiomics (IR) model integrated the independent predictors and robust radiomics features. The predictive efficacy of the models was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration curves and decision curves. Multivariate Cox analysis identified the independent risk factors for overall survival, Kaplan‒Meier curves were plotted, and a nomogram was used to visualize the predictive model.Results or Findings: The imaging model comprised tumour size and intrahepatic duct dilatation. The radiomics model comprises 25 stable radiomics features. The IR model shows desirable performance (AUCtraining= - 890, AUCvalidation= 0.885 and AUCtest= 0.815). The calibration curve and decision curve validate the clinical utility. Overall survival predicted by histological and IR model-predicted MVI groups exhibited similar predictive efficacy.
Conclusion: The IR model and nomogram based on IR model-predicted MVI status may be a potential tool in MVI status stratification and overall survival prediction of ICC patients preoperatively.Limitations: The models are based on retrospectively collected data from a single institution.Funding for this study: This work was supported by - Shanghai Municipal Health Commission (Grant number 202240152); 2. National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant number 82171897); 3. Shanghai Municipal Key Clinical Specialty (Grant number shslczdzk03202); 4. Clinical Research Plan of SHDC (Grant number SHDC2020CR1029B).
Has your study been approved by an ethics committee? YesEthics committee - additional information: Approval for this retrospective study was granted by the Ethics Committee of our Hospital.