Prognostic Value of RECIST, mRECIST, and LI-RADS TRA Early Response in Predicting Survival in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with Selective Internal Radiation Therapy
Author Block: M. Dupuis, A. Dupont, S. Pizza, V. Vilgrain, A. Bando Delaunay, R. Lebtahi, M. Bouattour, M. Ronot, J. Gregory; Clichy/FR
Purpose: This study evaluates the prognostic value of tumor response at three months on CT, assessed by RECIST, mRECIST, and LI-RADS Treatment Response Algorithm (LR-TRA) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with selective internal radiation therapy (SIRT).
Methods or Background: A retrospective analysis was conducted on 102 HCC patients treated with SIRT between 2018 and 2020. RECIST, mRECIST, and LR-TRA were assessed at 3 months post-SIRT. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were assessed using Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards models.
Results or Findings: Median age was 71 years, most patients (90%) had advanced-stage tumors (BCLC-C). After a median follow-up of 32.0 months (95% CI: 16.8-60.9), 60/102 patients died (59%), and 90/102 patients showed tumor progression (88%). Median OS was 20.4 months (95% CI: 15.4-33.0), and median PFS was 14.5 months (95% CI: 6.5-24.5); 1-year OS and PFS rates were 65.6% and 50.7%. Multivariable analysis revealed that early response according to RECIST 1.1 (HR 1.66, p=0.30), mRECIST (HR 1.40, p=0.215), and LR-TRA (HR 0.67, p=0.30) were not predictors of OS. Disease progression evaluated by RECIST (HR 2.55, p<0.001) and mRECIST (HR 2.53, p<0.001), bilirubin levels (HR 1.03, p<0.001) and prothrombin time (HR 0.98, p=0.005) were predictors of OS. For PFS, neither RECIST nor mRECIST response, disease progression, nor LR-TRA viability were predictors.
Conclusion: In this advanced-stage HCC population, early response assessed by RECIST, mRECIST, and LR-TRA criteria did not predict OS or PFS after SIRT. However, early disease progression and liver function indicators were prognostic factors for OS.
Limitations: Several limitations exist in this single-center, retrospective study, including a small sample size, which may reduce the generalizability of the findings. Additionally, tumor heterogeneity, a key prognostic-factor for poor treatment response and shorter PFS, was not considered.
Funding for this study: None
Has your study been approved by an ethics committee? Yes
Ethics committee - additional information: This single-center retrospective clinical study was approved by the local Institutional Review Board (IRB 00006477), and informed consent was waived due to its retrospective nature.